Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1601
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1601 · DEN → HOU
departs 10:29 PM MT · arrives 2:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 46%
Wed 11/4 38%
Thu 11/5 30%
Fri 11/6 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.