Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1704 · DEN → OKC
departs 7:24 PM MT · arrives 10:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 41%
Fri 11/6 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 43 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.15 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.