Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1737
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1737 · DEN → PHX
departs 8:59 PM MT · arrives 10:57 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 39%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.04 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.