Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 174
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 174 · HOU → HRL
departs 10:26 PM CT · arrives 11:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 42%
Fri 11/6 45%
Sat 11/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.