Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1768 · DAL → LAS
departs 10:26 PM CT · arrives 11:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 43%
Fri 11/6 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.17 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.