Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1778
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1778 · DEN → PDX
departs 8:52 PM MT · arrives 10:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 83%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 54%
Fri 11/6 55%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±8 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 43 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.15 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.