Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1781
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1781 · DEN → ICT
departs 7:25 PM MT · arrives 9:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 54%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 45%
Fri 11/6 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
38%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 43 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.15 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.