Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1792
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1792 · DEN → PHL
departs 7:32 PM MT · arrives 1:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
61%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
61%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 43 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.15 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.