Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1806
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 1806 · DEN → STL
departs 8:47 PM MT · arrives 11:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 42%
Fri 11/6 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±13 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 41 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.12 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.