WN 1840 · DEN → STL

took off 8:16 AM MT · landed 10:48 AM CT (scheduled 8:13 AM MT → 11:28 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts39 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.11 in

STL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1840 · DEN → STL

Odds over time

How late did it get to STL?