WN 1866 · OKC → DEN

took off 6:37 AM CT · expected to land 6:47 AM MT (scheduled 6:31 AM CT → 7:16 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from OKC are usually not late

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.30 in

DEN (destination) Gusts43 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1866 · OKC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?