WN 1877 · DTW → MDW

departs 8:19 AM ET · arrives 8:58 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8692F (B738), coming in as WN 4960 from STL: landed 11:34 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 8am departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1877 · DTW → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?