Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2036
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2036 · DEN → SFO
departs 9:29 PM MT · arrives 11:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 58%
Fri 11/6 51%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±17 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 43 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.15 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.