Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2037
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2037 · DEN → DSM
departs 7:36 PM MT · arrives 10:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
76%
chance · ±7 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
76%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
76%
Yes 76%
No 24%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DSM that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
DSM usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 43 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.15 in
DSM (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.