Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2039
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 2039 · HOU → DEN
departs 10:33 PM CT · arrives 11:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 30%
Thu 11/5 32%
Fri 11/6 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.