Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2040 · HNL → LIH
departs 8:42 PM HT · arrives 9:38 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 18%
Fri 11/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 8% of the time recently
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.