Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2109
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 2109 · SAT → DAL
departs 7:51 PM CT · arrives 9:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.