WN 2116 · LAS → OAK

took off 7:37 AM PT · landed 8:43 AM PT (scheduled 7:13 AM PT → 8:52 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OAK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2116 · LAS → OAK

Odds over time

How late did it get to OAK?