WN 2173 · TPA → HOU

departs 5:21 AM ET · arrives 6:42 AM CT

Your aircraft is N969WN (B737), coming in as WN 9012 from CMH: landed 1:25 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 767 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at HOU that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from TPA are usually not late

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.24 in

HOU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2173 · TPA → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?