Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2291
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2291 · DEN → TUL
departs 7:28 PM MT · arrives 10:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 42%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 43 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.15 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.63 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.