WN 2313 · PIT → MDW

took off 9:44 AM ET · expected to land 9:43 AM CT (scheduled 8:44 AM ET → 9:28 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

70% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

LIVE

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MDW that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2313 · PIT → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?