Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2379
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2379 · BNA → STL
departs 10:25 PM CT · arrives 11:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 27%
Fri 11/6 29%
Sat 11/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.