WN 2543 · STL → LAX

departs 5:02 AM CT · arrives 7:10 AM PT

Your aircraft is N8990Q (B38M), coming in as WN 2875 from MCO: landed 1:10 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from STL are usually not late

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2543 · STL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?