Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2617
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 2617 · MCI → DAL
departs 9:15 PM CT · arrives 10:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 38%
Thu 11/5 36%
Fri 11/6 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
34%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.44 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.