WN 2629 · LIT → BNA

took off 9:44 AM CT · expected to land 10:31 AM CT (scheduled 8:05 AM CT → 9:27 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
88%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at LIT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LIT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2629 · LIT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?