Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2665
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 2665 · MCI → TPA
departs 8:54 PM CT · arrives 12:32 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 35%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 36%
Fri 11/6 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.54 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.