Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 2695 · DEN → AUS
departs 8:56 PM MT · arrives 12:14 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 40%
Wed 11/4 36%
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.