WN 2700 · MCI → PHX

departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:56 AM MT

Your aircraft is N8957Q (B38M), coming in as WN 2123 from HOU: landed 12:38 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.72 in

PHX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,417 ft Visibility9.16667 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2700 · MCI → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?