Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2706 · OMA → PHX
departs 8:59 PM CT · arrives 10:48 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 30%
Fri 11/6 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OMA (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.47 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.