WN 2739 · MCO → BNA

took off 12:46 PM ET · landed 1:21 PM CT (scheduled 11:25 AM ET → 12:28 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from MCO are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2739 · MCO → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?