Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2807
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2807 · MCO → SJU
departs 10:18 PM ET · arrives 2:22 AM AT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 37%
Wed 11/4 27%
Thu 11/5 34%
Fri 11/6 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.66 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.