Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2883 · OAK → DEN
departs 7:40 PM PT · arrives 11:12 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 39%
Fri 11/6 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 41 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.