Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2922
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 2922 · DEN → BNA
departs 8:49 PM MT · arrives 12:28 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 42 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.03 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.