WN 2976 · OMA → LAS

took off 6:31 AM CT · expected to land 6:58 AM PT (scheduled 6:21 AM CT → 7:42 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OMA that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from OMA are usually not late

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.46 in

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2976 · OMA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?