WN 2992 · SMF → DAL

took off 5:17 AM PT · expected to land 9:56 AM CT (scheduled 4:57 AM PT → 10:28 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2992 · SMF → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?