Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2998
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 2998 · MCI → MDW
departs 8:37 PM CT · arrives 10:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 28%
Fri 11/6 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.