Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3046
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 3046 · PHX → SEA
departs 10:32 PM MT · arrives 12:22 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 56%
Fri 11/6 56%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
10pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.