WN 3053 · MHT → MDW

departs 7:30 AM ET · arrives 9:02 AM CT

Your aircraft is N234WN (B737), coming in as WN 1923 from MDW: landed 10:54 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3053 · MHT → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?