Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3068
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 3068 · HOU → JAX
departs 8:32 PM CT · arrives 11:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 31%
Fri 11/6 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.