Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 3128 · MSY → MCO
departs 9:54 PM CT · arrives 12:44 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 32%
Fri 11/6 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
9pm departures from MSY are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.