Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3143
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 3143 · MSY → TPA
departs 9:33 PM CT · arrives 12:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 767 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.01 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 867 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.