Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3207
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 3207 · DEN → HDN
departs 6:20 PM MT · arrives 7:17 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 35%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at HDN more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HDN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at HDN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HDN?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 46 kt forecast at DEN that day
↑
Cloud base down to 267 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at HDN that day
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
HDN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 46 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
HDN (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 267 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.