Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 3232 · OKC → DEN
departs 7:13 PM CT · arrives 7:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 22%
Thu 11/5 36%
Fri 11/6 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 46 kt forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 36 kt
Ceiling 4,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 46 kt
Ceiling 1,400 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.