WN 3269 · MDW → ATL

departs 5:25 AM CT · arrives 8:33 AM ET

Your aircraft is N8921Q (B38M), coming in as WN 2595 from MCO: landed 12:45 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MDW are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3269 · MDW → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?