WN 3280 · OKC → MCO

departs 6:02 AM CT · arrives 9:49 AM ET

Your aircraft is N8542Z (B738), coming in as WN 4244 from LAS: landed 11:52 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from OKC are usually not late

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.30 in

MCO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.66 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3280 · OKC → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?