WN 3295 · MDW → PDX

departs 9:10 PM CT · arrives 11:28 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±5 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3295 · MDW → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?