WN 3306 · DEN → TPA

departs 5:08 AM MT · arrives 10:38 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 767 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from DEN are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts43 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.15 in

TPA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling767 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3306 · DEN → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?