Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 3413 · LAS → MCI
departs 8:31 PM PT · arrives 1:21 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 39%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±7 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
8pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.