Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3428
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 3428 · PHX → MDW
departs 6:55 PM MT · arrives 11:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 41%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,933 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.12 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.