Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3469
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 3469 · PHX → PDX
departs 7:33 PM MT · arrives 9:18 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 52%
Fri 11/6 55%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.